Data Tour of Rental Housing
Housing folks know that despite common stereotypes, renters are integral to our social and economic fabric, and that decent, affordable rental options make for vibrant communities. Recent Met Council projections suggest that the need for rental will increase quite a lot by 2040 due to more older adults, more immigrants, and more single-parent families in the Twin Cities area. MHP's been piecing together data in new ways to tell the story of rental in Minnesota to show that affordable rental housing is in short supply and requires investment to meet our needs going forward. Take an MHP graphical data tour of three key points, and let us know what you think in the comments.


Most of our data is for the Twin Cities metro. While choices for Greater MN renters are sometimes even more constrained than in the metro, we focus on the metro due to data availability, and that often metro trends set the trajectory for the state.
Point #1: Rental housing is not affordable, especially to the lowest income folks.
The chart below looks at those who are spending at least half their income on housing and divides them up by their incomes. Over three-quarters have incomes that are 30% or less of the area median, or are "extremely low income" or ELI. State-level statistics are very similar.
Our friends at the National Low Income Housing Coalition remind us that in Minnesota, affordable housing is in extremely short supply for those at the lowest end of the income spectrum. Only 40 units are available and affordable for every 100 extremely low income households. Supply improves somewhat as you go up the income ladder.
|
Units Affordable & Available per 100 households |
|
|
ELI (30% or less of MMFI) |
40 |
|
VLI (31-50% of MMFI) |
76 |
|
LI (51-80% of MMFI) |
106 |
Point #2: The supply of low-cost apartments on the private market is shrinking
From 2006 to 2011, the number of units in the Twin Cities renting at $650 or less fell by 53%. 
The American Community Survey provides more evidence of the same kind of trend. 52,000 rental units were added from 2005 to 2010, but in net the added units fell at the upper end of the rent spectrum. Some loss in number of cheaper units and growth in more expensive units is to be expected due to inflation, but this does not account for the dramatic swing in this chart.
Point #3: Newly created subsidized rental housing is not targeted to the lowest income people, even though that's where the greatest need is.
Just how low do rents need to be to serve extremely low-income folks? Finding decent rental housing in the Twin Cities for a whole family at $1,250 is a challenge, but is nearly impossible at $630/month.

Yet the affordable housing we are producing, as valuable as it is, often fails to meet the affordability needs of extremely low income families.

We know that funding tools (too few, too little, and not targeted to low enough incomes) are a big part of why we are not meeting the state's needs. We have our work cut out for us! MHP encourages you to use this data when you talk to colleagues, community members, and policy makers.
Contact Leigh Rosenberg at This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it or 651-925-5543 for more information.
Announcements on the Blog
Congrats to Aeon for winning AIA's 2013 Affordable Housing Design Award for the Renaissance Box!
MHP has two funding opportunities available for nonprofit developers and government agencies building affordable housing in Minnesota. MHP’s Wells Fargo EQ2 Loan Fund has $200,000 remaining; interested developers should contact Cynthia Paulson immediately. We are also accepting applications for the Predevelopment Loan Fund, which provides loans of up to $50,000 for predevelopment expenses.
Impact Spotlight of the Month
Events
Foreclosure Prevention Workshop, Washington County HRA, May 23
38th Annual NUSA Conference on Neighborhood Concerns, Neighborhoods, USA, May 25
Housing Choice: an accelerator of regional economic competitiveness, Metropolitan Council and ULI Minnesota/ Regional Council of Mayors, June 6
Economic Development Association of Minnesota Summer Conference, EDAM, June 26-28
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Comments
It's also worth looking at rental supply. In the 5-year period from 2006 to 2010, the number of multi‐family units permitted fell to at least a 50-year low for any 5-year period. Check out the Q1 2011 2x4 Report at http://mhponline.org/images/stories/docs/research/2x4/mhp2x4report_q111_full.pdf for more. This was probably due to bullishness on the ownership market in the early-middle part of the decade, followed by tight credit for would-be developers as the housing market collapsed. Hope this helps!
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